Tropical Storm Ernesto August 4 - 4:00PM Advisory
Published 4th August 2012, 4:26pm
At 4 p.m. on Saturday August 4th, Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near Latitude 14.8N and Longitude 70.1W or about 495 miles East South East of Kingston, Jamaica. Minimum central pressure is 1003 MB.
Ernesto is currently heading West (280 degrees) at 18 miles per hour. This motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected to continue during the next 48 hours and on the forecast track Ernesto is expected to pass south of Jamaica on Sunday afternoon and South of the Cayman Islands on Monday and Tuesday. If Ernesto follows the expected forecast track, the closest point of approach to the Cayman Islands will be approximately 125 miles away on Tuesday evening.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 MPH. No significant change of strength is expected today but some intensification is possible on Sunday. Ernesto is forecast to become a Category 1 hurricane in the next 24 to 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outwards about 140 miles mostly to the North and East of the centre of circulation.
A Tropical Storm Warning is currently in effect for Jamaica.
No watches or warnings have been issued for the Cayman Islands at this time.
The Cayman Islands National Weather Service is forecasting east to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, with higher gusts on Monday. On Tuesday the forecast calls for southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts.
Seas are expected to be rough, especially on the south coast on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday with wave heights of 5 to 7 feet. A small craft warning will go into effect beginning on Monday.
The Core Group of the National Hazard Management Council will meet at around 4.30 p.m. on Sunday afternoon and at that time a decision will be made by the Deputy Governor regarding whether or not Government offices will open on Monday. Following the meeting, the decision will then be communicated through Radio Cayman and other media sources and also posted on the Cayman Prepared website.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM.
ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO STAY TUNED TO THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.