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Moving North away from Cayman area

Published 7th October 2018, 7:30pm

At 7 PM (local time) Tropical Storm Michael was located at 19.9N 85.4W or about 105 miles east of Cozumel. Michael is strengthening and currently has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and is moving slowly North at 5 mph.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and the Isle of Youth and parts of the Mexican coastline.

A general northward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days, which should take the system away from the Cayman area. Michael is forecast to become a hurricane Monday night or Tuesday.

Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 170 miles (275 km) to the northeast and southeast of the centre.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb

Tropical Storm Michael is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 7 inches over western Cuba and 2 to 4 inches over the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize through Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in western Cuba. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides in areas of mountainous terrain.

Cloudiness and showers associated with TS Michael will continue to influence the Cayman area for the next 24 hours as the storm moves north across the Western Caribbean. TS Michael is expected to emerge over the southeast Gulf of Mexico tomorrow evening. Radar images show mainly isolated showers over the Cayman area and a large area scattered showers about 50 miles west of the Cayman area. Showers are moving mainly towards the north northeast.